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Has Cash Been King for the Past 10 Years?

If you're like most investors, you've been nearly brainwashed with conventional market "wisdom" that stocks are the best way to grow your portfolio.

You would be crazy not to have your money in the markets, right?

But when markets drop, as we've seen in this credit crisis, it's amazing how quickly the story changes.

Steve Hochberg and Pete Kendall, editors of Elliott Wave International's Financial Forecast, challenged the notion of stocks' superiority years before this latest downturn.

Learn how cash has been king – and will remain so – far longer than the latest news headlines may have you believe in this free excerpt from Elliott Wave International's Credit Crisis Survival Kit.

Elliott Wave International has also made the full Credit Crisis Survival Kit available free for a limited time. In addition to this excerpt, it contains 14 other articles, reports, and videos that reveal how to survive and prosper during the credit crisis. Visit EWI to download the kit, free.

The Fear of the Year

This year, the fear is that entire governments may go under.

The anxieties about "sovereign debt" have been most acute in Europe, where some countries--Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain--have huge debt burdens. Greece, in particular, is in dire need of assistance as it owes four hundred billion dollars.

And now, people are wondering if American state and city governments are headed for their own Greek tragedy. Recently, The Wall Street Journal asked, "Who Will Default First: Greece or California?"

While American states are typically required to balance their budgets annually, that hasn't stopped them from amassing a pile of long-term debt by issuing municipal bonds. And, like Greece and other countries & some banks, states have used accounting techniques to under-report the amount they owe, even while accumulating huge, unfunded liabilities like pension obligations.

State governments from New Jersey to California that are struggling to close budget deficits are skipping or deferring payments to already underfunded public employee pension plans. The moves could help ease today's budget pressures, but will make tomorrow's worse.

Just like a default by Greece would have nasty ripple effects across the global economies, a state-government default would have all sorts of unpleasant consequences, as state bonds have traditionally been considered a thoroughly safe investment. Concern over a potential liquidity shortage at Greece's private-sector banks fueled a sharp selloff in Greek debt and equity markets Thursday. More alarmingly, investors drove the interest rate of the Greek two-year bond to 7.45% Thursday, 6.64 percentage points more than what Germany pays. This example illustrates that the market is the dog wagging its central bank tail, not the other way around.

In the past, much of the assistance that states get from Washington is close to automatic: in normal times (which these are not now), the government sends almost half a trillion dollars in aid directly to the states. Last year's stimulus sent more than a hundred and fifty billion dollars to state and local governments. But the question today is: Can the federal government be counted on to step up its efforts in this year of critical state and municipal budget failures?

Source: THE NEW YORKER, April 12, 2010

Download the most important investment report you'll read in 2010

 

 Mentoring Matters

The mentor and mentee relationship is one of mutual benefit.

The mentor gains the satisfaction of helping develop the talent and mentees get access to "someone who has been there" as knowledge and experience is shared from one generation to another. Many successful people believe a key factor in their success was and is having a mentor or coach. Mentoring programs have become popular ways for organizations to groom "high potential" employees for future leadership positions. Companies are hot on the practice these days, believing it encourages loyalty, diversity, and cohesion. Fully half of the 500 biggest businesses in the U.S. now offer mentoring, up from about 10% five years ago, according to Menttium Corp., which sets up such programs for corporations.

Mentoring takes on many forms. Mentoring can be a one-shot intervention or a lifelong relationship. It can be carried out informally, as relationships develop on their own, or formally as part of a highly structured program. One of the most common problems, especially with formal programs, is simply that the mentor and mentee are incompatible. Even the best intentions and most thorough questionnaires can't always identify what might really irritate you about the other person. Many companies have discovered that it is best for the mentee to choose his or her mentor rather than having the company do the matching.

Here are three steps for preventing a brain drain where you work:

Identify your vulnerabilities. Create an age profile of your workforce by work unit or by function. Determine the average age of employees in each unit and identify who's likely to retire or leave the company for other reasons.

Identify types of knowledge at risk. Use interviewing and social network analysis software to find out what knowledge is most valuable. This will help you decide where to focus your knowledge-retention efforts.

Choose your tactics. If you're focusing on transferring "tacit" knowledge, or experience that is hard to catalog, establish mentoring programs that bring older and younger workers together for extended periods.

Overcoming the Leadership Paradox

A survey of 3,000 leaders and associates in 117 organizations reports that 63% plan to increase spending on leadership development programs that 75% of HR executives surveyed don't give a high quality rating to.

The paradox of spending more on what's not working is due to leadership development being seen as a classroom event. Yet, you don't fix people by sending them off to executive education. Managers need ongoing coaching to get in the habit of being good leaders.

The survey reported that two-thirds of the respondents said leaders at their company exhibited at least one potentially fatal flaw or "derailer"--a personality attribute that interferes with leadership effectiveness.

Here are a few examples of derailers:
an inability to listen, lack of self-control, pessimism, self-centeredness, know-it-all, not a team player. Derailers are more personality-oriented than skill-based and are more difficult to change than teaching someone a new skill.


For all the money spent on them, we still don't know if executive leadership programs spent in the classroom work but we know that personal leadership coaching does work.

Bottom Line: Leadership development is self-development. Learning how to not micromanage, not be overly concrete, not fail to explicitly state expectations and other unproductive inter-personal behavior only happens through the increased self-awareness gained in a personal coaching or mentoring relationship.

On-demand, immediate leadership coaching insights in digestible bites allows for on-the-job application while fitting easily into action-packed schedules. That's why enrollment in leadership coaching is Leadership 401.

Register me for six months of Leadership 401 personal coaching.

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Transformational Leadership

Leadership onboarding

Leading a business transition through a cultural change, to deliver dramatically increased value, is a tough assignment. Getting the people side right can make all the difference. Business transitions are times of heightened emotion where perceptions, feelings and hunches trump logic.

Everyone's decision making is emotional, not rational...subconsciously under the control of their emotional brain (limbic system), not their analytical (neocortical) brain. When people make decisions, their decisions are not just about rational data weighing of the pros and cons. Buying a car, choosing a mate, selecting a new home, following a career path, perceiving how the world works is all decided emotionally. Emotion is always operating below the surface and the executive doesn't recognize how important his or her feelings are at the time of the decision. That is why it is important to help leaders of organizations to be emotionally stable, free from the fear of failure, when making important decisions.

Albert Einstein once said, "We should take care not to make the intellect our god; it has, of course, powerful muscles but no personality. It cannot lead; it can only serve."

Transformational leaders have a clear collective vision and manage to communicate it effectively to all employees. By acting as role models, they inspire employees to put the good of the whole organization above self interest.
Transformational leaders know and science has discovered emotionality's deeper purpose: the timeworn mechanisms of emotion allow two human beings to receive the contents of each other's minds. They are using the power of emotion to get managers to innovate through taking risks on-the-job.

Yet, after years of cost-cutting initiatives and growing job insecurity, most executives don't feel like putting themselves on the line. Add to that individual performance incentives, where a one-year term determines a large bonus, and investing in risky long-term payoffs takes a back seat. Most managers postpone risky decisions for
fear of failure---to not make the incremental mistakes that can lead to innovative successes. That's why it is difficult to make the shift from a play-it-safe corporate culture to an innovation-driven culture.

Here in Metro Detroit, the automotive industry is talking about innovation-driven cultures that are imperative in
today's globally competitive world. But where are the fearless transitional leaders that can instill the confidence of automotive industry executives to innovate? When will the Lee Iacocca’s of the 1960s and 1970s reappear to overcome the present corporate paralysis? Changing the organization's culture requires recruiting or promoting emerging leaders and helping them get up-to-speed quickly.

Lee Iacocca's career within the automotive industry illustrates how emerging leaders can change corporate cultures to walk the talk of innovation. When the over hyped, oversized and overpriced 1960 Edsel failed in the marketplace, Ford Motor Company needed to listen to new ideas from within the company. The introduction of the 1964 Ford Mustang was an innovative product tuned into customers' call for stylish affordability. Iacocca went on to become president of the struggling Chrysler Corporation where his streamlining measures and new product innovations, including the first innovative front-wheel drive Dodge Caravan minivan, made the difference between failure and success.

When an industry or company is restructuring to survive in the global economy, executives are all driven by the fear of not surviving the transitional period and this fear can adversely affect their decision-making abilities. The turnaround won’t be complete until the fear of failure is confronted in the minds of the executive survivors.

After a corporate restructuring, it is important to provide newly recruited or promoted executives with access to inside mentors and
outside executive coaches who can help their perceptions to evolve. Executives often leave a coaching session feeling calmer, stronger, safer and more able to manage within their corporate culture. With every mentoring or coaching session, the executive learns to self-coach—reducing the dependency on the coach. The executive’s leadership capacity grows and becomes a natural part of the self, like knowing how to ride a bike or tie one’s shoes.

Executives are then ready to guide the cultural transition by instilling confidence in each employee's ability to meet and overcome workplace challenges. Confidence precedes competence. Each employee must first believe he or she can succeed by developing a winning attitude reinforced by skill-building practice.

As each person's talents are built into strengths and then merged with others, a positive energy emerges. This energy force builds and reinforces each individual's confidence to create a critical mass. Then it is the leader's job to keep the momentum going;
so as not to lose the positive energy flow.


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 Success has ruined many a man. - Benjamin Franklin

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